How can P(A=ice cream sale) value exist without a given weather condition?

…t data that said 30 people out of a potential 100 actually bought ice cream at some shop somewhere. So my P(A = ice cream sale) = 30/100 = 0.3, prior to me knowing anything about the weather. This is how Bayes’ Theorem allows us to incorporat…
Probability concepts explained: Bayesian inference for parameter estimation.
9.5K
51
Jonny Brooks-Bartlett
Anil Savas Kilic
·Follow
1 min read·
Aug 5, 2018
--
How can P(A=ice cream sale) value exist without a given weather condition? Do we assume an annual average value? How did data tell me that P(A) = 0.3, isolating the weather from the calculation?
I assume that we need to have data from a store selling ice cream above the atmosphere with no weather conditions?
--
--
Written by Anil Savas Kilic16 Followers
·37 Following
For years; I've helped companies solve their problems, transform themselves, and innovate new business models.
Responses (1)
Help
Status
About
Careers
Press
Blog
Privacy
Terms
Text to speech
Teams